tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2569772432953120875.post5726905598229290130..comments2024-02-22T19:45:29.872-05:00Comments on Sources And Methods: 6 Things To Think About While Discussing Requirements With A Decisionmaker (Part 2)Kristan J. Wheatonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02566135545863154089noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2569772432953120875.post-32281431351962375862018-08-27T11:46:24.392-04:002018-08-27T11:46:24.392-04:00Antonio, sorry for the slow response (I missed you...Antonio, sorry for the slow response (I missed your comment). I agree with you about the nature of facts and the difficulty of extracting the signal from the noise. It is far more difficult than most people assume and the easy availability of all sorts of information these days is only exacerbating the issue. That is, the fact that information is easier to get has created the perception that the truth is easier to find as well. Even when you control for this, though, it pales in comparison to the value of good estimative intelligence. Having access to reliable information is a precondition for any sort of estimate - and it is the estimate that allows the DM to plan. So, yes, I probably could have said it better but I was saying that estimative is more difficult than descriptive. I was also saying that DMs often (and somewhat surprisingly) forget to ask for it, so I recommend that you remind them that estimates are something else we can provide.<br />Kristan J. Wheatonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02566135545863154089noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2569772432953120875.post-35093969109693421852018-08-08T12:08:10.664-04:002018-08-08T12:08:10.664-04:00Kristan,
I follow your blog and respect your judg...Kristan,<br /> I follow your blog and respect your judgement and experience a lot. However, today is one of those rare days when I have to disagree with what you have written: "While I am never one to look for more work, the truth is that descriptive intelligence is becoming easier and easier to find." Earlier, you describe "descriptive intelligence" as "about explaining something that is relevant to the decision at hand." Your example seems to suggests that this is about gathering facts. While it's true that more and more 'factual' information is available to anyone than ever, I'd say that the process is still not simple, especially in an adversarial environment. Some facts may remain hidden, some alledged facts may be planted falsehoods, some may be misleading (especially without contexts). If getting the facts were so easy, we would not have a 'fake news' problem -and journalists would be mostly out of work. And I haven't even started about *interpreting* facts, where in a complex situation what the fact actually means may have to be carefully decided. Am I being paranoid or is descriptive intel not really as smooth as you make it sound? Or maybe I misunderstood you, and you were saying that compared to estimative intelligence, the descriptive part is easier?Antoniohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05164094213576117428noreply@blogger.com