Sources And Methods

Thinking about the future, and, more importantly, how to think about the future.

Monday, April 28, 2014

The Best Job In Intelligence (That You’ve Probably Never Heard Of)

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“Here’s the deal…” “I’m all ears.” “On any given day you are as likely to be working on a terrorism case as you are on a drug smuggling ...
7 comments:
Wednesday, April 23, 2014

Intelligence Assessment And Unpredictability (Follow Up To: How To Analyze Black Swans)

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(Note:  I have known Greg Fyffe, former Executive Director of the Intelligence Assessment Secretariat in the Privy Council Office in Canada ...
Monday, April 21, 2014

How To Analyze Black Swans

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Black swans, we are told, are both rare and dramatic.  They exist but they are so uncommon that no one would predict that the next swan th...
6 comments:
Thursday, April 17, 2014

How To Get An Intel Job Using LinkedIn

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Most job seekers are very familiar with job related search engines such as Monster or Indeed  or, among intel professionals, sites such as ...
1 comment:
Monday, April 14, 2014

Forecasting Recessions: Economists' Record Of Failure "Unblemished"

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From:  http://www.voxeu.org/article/predicting- economic-turning-points "All my economist's say, 'On the one hand or the ...
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Kristan J. Wheaton
I am the Professor of Strategic Futures at the US Army War College.
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